NCAAF Week 8 Part 1 – Arkansas State v. Florida International +2 Units

#302 Arkansas State -2.5 (2 units) WINNER! over Florida International Arkansas State is 4-1 SU and 4-1 SU winning by an average of 21.4 points while Hugh Freeze has been around. They've had a tougher schedule here than Florida Int.; I like them as small home favorites. Florida International is only 9-15 ATS under Mario Cristobal and 3-21 SU losing by an average -21 points. My raw numbers project Arkansas State to cover this line by 7 points. Ryan Aplin throws for 300 yds per game and his reciever Dwayne Frampton averages over 100 yards receiving per game at 7.8 yards per catch. The Panthers don't have a good passing ... More

Free Play – MNF Teaser (Detroit/Chicago)

DETROIT v. CHICAGO - Side and Total : (1 unit) 6 Pt. Teaser with: #430 Detroit Lions -0.5 (from the -6.5 spread) DET Lions | CHI Bears UNDER 53 (from the 47 game total) WINNER! The pick for tonight is Detroit. After the win against Carolina, the Bears might come into this one prepared; maybe they'll be okay with the loss after breaking a losing streak. Since 2005, the Lions are 2-10 against the Bears. Since that same season they are 1-5 to the Bears at home. I remember what happened last season: Detroit had a great season, but their very first game seemed to have put them in a foul mood. Detroit was celebrating a ... More

Current Football Run: +$3,545.00 42-17 ATS

Since Saturday (NCAAF Week Four) September 24th, we're 42-17 ATS (71.2%) +$3,545.00 (+35.45 units) in NFL and NCAAF.   Here is broken down: NFL WEEK THREE:  7-5 +$20.00 (58.3%) == NCAAF WEEK FIVE:  13-5 +$1,345.00 (72%) == NFL WEEK THREE: 9-2 +$1,175.00 (82%) == NCAAF WEEK FOUR:  13-5 +$1,005.00 (72%) More

Another 13-5 NCAAF Weekend! (+13.45 units)

  Here's what I'm taking for Week Five: ================ #189 Kentucky +30.5 (3 units) WINNER! over LSU This is too many point to give LSU. Kentucky is 3-1 ATS as a double digit dog since 1990 when playing LSU. The SEC has done well and double digit dogs on the road. Have a look at who else has done well there: line>=10 and conference and site and season (Note: remove "season" or define it as "season>YYYY" for more global results). Well in the last three seasons, SEC conference games have gone towards the home favorite more often than not for SU wins, but double digit ... More

An MLB Base System – April Division Away Dogs

Here's a nice trick, and complementary Sdql link... Since 2004, Away Division Dogs off of a win in the first month of MLB with +170 to +110 (inclusive) odds are SU (straight up): 190-195 (49.35%) +$6,082 (that's +15.8% roi on a 385 game sample). That means about 55 games a year or 1.83 games per day in the month of April. You have a lot to work with there. [SDQL LINK] More

A 24-7-1 (77%) +22.25 Unit Football Weekend

The 9/23 - 9/26 Football Weekend went: 24-7-0 ATS (77%) +22.25 UNITS   In NFL we went: 9-2-1 ATS 81.8% for +11.75 units Here's what we had: ============ #424 Indianapolis Colts +10 (1.5 units) WINNER! +1.5 over the Steelers "All the way up until week 15's Super Bowl losers are 25% ATS as road favorites. Since 2003, they are 5-15 ATS. As -2.5 favorites or more they are 3-13 ATS. In week 3, people like to put a fork in teams that look terrible. If a team lost by a TD or worse in their last and 2 TDs or a field goal or worse in their one before that (week 1 and week ... More